| Article |
|---|
| Article name |
ESTIMATION OF PUBLIC DANGER OF FIRES IN THE BAIKAL REGION IN THE RISK INDICATORS |
| Authors |
Garmashev V.. candidate of technical sciences, diamant1959@mail.ruDubrovin D.. senior engineer, dmitrijdubrovin@yandex.ru |
| Bibliographic description |
|
| Category |
Earth science |
| DOI |
614.841.224 |
| DOI |
10.21209/2227-9245-2019-25-5-18-27 |
| Article type |
scientific |
| Annotation |
Accelerating the pace and expansion of production activities, urbanization in modern conditions is inextricably linked to the use of energy-intensive technologies and hazardous substances. As a result, the potential threat to human health and life, environment and material base of production increases. The number of fires, man-made accidents and catastrophes is constantly growing. Therefore, today most developed countries, including Russia, are moving to a security strategy based on the principles of analysis, assessment and prevention of fire risks. Currently, fires are one of the most frequently implemented emergencies in the territory of the Baikal and Transbaikalia, which account for up to 98,2 % of all types of emergencies that cause significant harm to the economy of the region\'s subjects and are risk factors for the health of the population and the state of the natural environment of the Baikal region. The paper presents social characteristics of the region, as well as the types and number of objects of the technosphere located in the territory of the Baikal region and Transbaikalia, forming the potential danger of emergency situations associated with fires. Using the methods of analysis, social and mathematical statistics, the assessment of the main indicators of consequences: the number of fires, destroyed buildings, direct damage, death and injury of people in 2013–2017 in the Irkutsk region, the Republic of Buryatia, Transbaikal territory. In addition, on the basis of existing methods and according to analytical studies of fires for the first time, a comparative assessment of integrated fire risks is given: the occurrence of fires, direct material damage, destruction of buildings, the risk for a person to encounter a fire, die, be injured in a fire in the subjects of the Russian Federation of the Baikal region: the Irkutsk region, the Republic of Buryatia, the Transbaikal territory. It is established that the safety level of people living in the territory of Baikal and Transbaikalia does not meet the requirements of fire safety |
| Key words |
Key words: Baikal region; Transbaikal territory; Transbaikalia; fire impact indicators; values of integral fire risks in the Baikal region; techniques; emergencies; technosphere objects; fire safety requirements; risk factors |
| Article information |
Garmyshev V., Dubrovin D. Estimation of public danger of fires in the Baikal region in the risk indicators // Transbaikal State University Journal, 2019, vol. 25, no. 5, pp. |
| References |
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