Article
Article name Forecasting of revenue stream non-uniformity of the consolidated budget of the Siberian federal district regions of the Siberian federal district
Authors Chimitdorzhieva E.. candidate of economic sciences, senior teacher, katrin_c@mail.ru
Bibliographic description
Category Earth science
DOI 332.1
DOI 10.21209/2227-­9245-­2018-­24-­4-138-144
Article type Scientific
Annotation The paper considers the problem of revenue stream non-uniformity of the consolidated budgets of the Siberian Federal District regions. Budget incomes and uncompensated receipts are considered as consolidated budget incomes of the regions. The author carried out short preview of methodological approaches to evaluate social and economic development disparity of the territory. The analysis of the dynamics of income receipt is presented, the features of income revenues in the consolidated budgets of the regions of the Siberian Federal District are noted, the leading regions and outsider regions are identified according to the level of social and economic development, the index of unevenness is calculated, and the dynamics of this indicator is studied. The analysis of dynamics of receipts of some types of tax incomes was given, and the variation coefficients for each type of tax incomes were calculated. In the course of the research work, a trend equation for the coefficient of variation calculated from the revenues of the consolidated budgets of the subjects of the Siberian Federal District in the period 2006–2016 was obtained. Modeling of the non-uniformity dynamics was performed with use of classical tools of the mathematical statistics. To evaluate the equations parameters the least square method was used. The obtained model meets the criteria of adequacy, which allowed using it to calculate the forecast. The authors calculated point and interval estimates of the coefficient of variation for revenues of the consolidated budgets of the regions of the Siberian Federal District from 2018 to 2021. Based on these results the conclusions about the nature of the tax revenue stream non-uniformity of the consolidated budgets of the Siberian Federal District regions were made, the tendency towards proximity of regions on the considered indicator is mentioned
Key words non-uniformity; revenue; region consolidated budget; statistical analysis; forecasting; variation coefficient; linear regression equation; Siberian Federal District; methods
Article information Cirenzhabovna E., Vanchikova E. Forecasting of revenue stream non-uniformity of the consolidated budget of the Siberian federal district regions of the Siberian federal district // Transbaikal State University Journal, 2018, vol. 24, no. 4, pp. 138-144
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Full articleForecasting of revenue stream non-uniformity of the consolidated budget of the Siberian federal district regions of the Siberian federal district