Article |
---|
Article name |
Instability Analysis in J. M. Keynes’s Works |
Authors |
Abgaldaev V.Y. candidate of economic sciences, associate professor, assistant professor, Economic Theory, World Economy, ecagent@mail.ruOsodoeva O. . doctor of economic sciences, professor, osodoeva_olga@mail.ruSaktoev V.E. doctor of economic sciences, professor, Saktoev_ve@mail.ru |
Bibliographic description |
Abgaldaev V.Yu., Osodoeva O. A., Saktoev V. E. Instability analysis in J. M. Keynes’s works // Transbaikal State University Journal. 2023. Vol. 29, no. 3. P. 143–155. DOI: 10.21209/2227-9245-2023-29-3-143-155. |
Category |
Economy |
DOI |
336.11 |
DOI |
10.21209/2227-9245-2023-29-3-143-155 |
Article type |
Original article |
Annotation |
The authors examine the works of J. M. Keynes, where the instability causes
led to the stock market crash in the USA in 1929 are studied. It was found that the
institutional changes in the monetary and financial spheres were the favorable instability
macroeconomic environment as a market economy attribute. It is revealed
that Keynes, while conducting the instability macroeconomic analysis, followed to
the banking tradition, taking the bank loan for the basis. However, the novelty of
his analysis is the investment relationship with profit and credit usage in financial
transactions that gave the opportunity to understand the financial crisis causes. In
addition, it is determined that the investor expectations’ changes, its impact on banks
money supply the entrepreneurs in order to meet their investment demand using a
bank loan is the instability source. Thus, Keynes has found that in such conditions there is an effect of industrial turnover displacement by financial circulation, which
has led to crisis. At the same time it is clarified that the «Treatise» is the origin of the
«»Keynesian revolution», that has raised the necessity to develop new fundamental
approaches for the depression causes understanding. Keynes has revealed the interaction
of industrial turnover with financial circulation that allowed state authorities
to resort to new practices in country economy management that is very actual for
Russian contemporary economy. The analysis of instability allows to conclude that
the financial crisis arises from the economic and political environment deterioration,
where the monetary authorities are unable to control, that contributes to the growth of
financial speculation in the financial market, the acceleration of the deflation process
and mass unemployment. |
Key words |
instability, financial crisis,credit, investments, financialactivity, industrial activity,stock market, crash, USA,liquidity |
Article information |
|
References |
1. Bobok V. K. The significance of Keynes’ macroeconomic theory for the modern market economy. Society: politics, economics, law, no. 1, pp. 5–21, 2007. (In Rus.).
2. Gersonskaya I. V. John Maynard Keynes about the need for state intervention in the economy. Synergy
of Sciences, no. 33, pp. 81–99, 2019. (In Rus.).
3. De Frey M. The history of Macroeconomics: from Keynes to Lucas and to the Present. Translated from
English by A. V. Belykh; edited by A. A. Belykh. Moscow: Delo, 2019. (In Rus.).
4. Keynes J. M. Selected works. Preface, commentary, comp. A. G. Khudokormov. Moscow: Economics,
1993. (In Rus.).
5. Keynes J. M. The general theory of employment, interest and money. Translated from the English professor N. N. Lyubimov. Moscow: Helios ARV, 2012. (In Rus.).
6. Kozyrev V. M. John Maynard Keynes and modern economic realities. Bulletin of the Moscow State
Academy of Business Administration, no. 2, pp. 26–46, 2011. (In Rus.).
7. Rudyak I. I. Keynes and a new approach to the time of economic processes: the state as a time editor.
Actual issues of modern science, no. 48, pp. 97–105, 2016. (In Rus.).
8. Ryazanov V. T. The world economic crisis and its consequences. Christian reading, no. 4, pp. 155–176,
2010. (In Rus.).
9. Field A. Asset exchange and the demand for money in transactions, 1919–1929. American Economic
Review, vol, 74, no. 1, pp. 43–59, 1984. Web. 15.04.2023. https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_
id=1109150. (In Eng.).
10. Fischer I. Purchasing power of money. New York: Augustus M.Kelly, 1963. Web. 17.04.2023. https://
eet.pixel-online.org. (In Eng.).
11. Foxwell H. (1917a). The nature of industrial struggle. Economic Journal, vol. 27, no. 107, pp. 315–329,
1917. Web. 17.04.2023. https://archive.org/details/sim_economic-journal_1917-09_27_107/mode/2up. (In
Eng.).
12. Foxwell H. (1917b). Trade and Industry financing. Economic Journal, pp. 502–522. Web. 19.04.2023.
http://www.literaturecollection.com/a/h-s-foxwell/papers-on-current-fi/9. (In Eng.).
13. Robertson D. H. (1915). Research of industrial turnover. Westminster: P. S. King and Son. London:
Publishing House of the London School of Economics and Political Sciences, 1948. (In Eng.).
14. White E. Before the adoption of the Glass-Steagall Law: analysis of investment banking activities of
national banks. Research in Economic History, vol. 23, iss. 1, pp. 33–55, 1986. (In Eng.).
15. White E. The stock market boom and crash of 1929 has been revisited. Journal of Economic Pros-pects, vol. 4, no. 2, pp. 67–83, 1990. Web. 19.04.2023. https://www.researchgate.net/publication/4730761. (In
Eng.). |
Full article | Instability Analysis in J. M. Keynes’s Works |